Category: Big win

Nfl win totals

nfl win totals

FIFA WC. Julian Edelman. Colorado Totzls. The general strategies should hold up regardless. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the lowest win—loss percentage.

Nfl win totals -

The theory of market efficiency says that market prices perfectly reflect all available information, but what if different markets have different prices for the same bet?

We could average the market prices together, putting more weight on the ones that are more likely to be efficient. Nate Silver has made a career for himself out of doing essentially this.

Notice anything strange? Now try adding them up. One small problem with that…there are games in a full regular season. Assuming a tie happens approximately once every two years maybe even more with the shortened overtime , that means there are The books are pricing in six and a half wins too many.

Two things, that share the same underlying cause…the general public likes to bet overs on these things much more than they like to bet unders. The second consequence has to do with how the lines move on action. Suppose a book posts a Patriots win total of 8. They might move it to 8. You should have a much easier time finding lines that better than these.

Time to go deep. This will allow us to:. Each team has 16 attempts, each of which result in either a 1 win or a 0 loss or tie. At first glance, this seems like a good candidate for the binomial distribution.

Cincinnati is on a roll with backup quarterback Jake Browning, as their win total has moved up from 8. The Miami Dolphins and the Denver Broncos saw win totals go down, despite the former winning on Sunday.

Miami has shifted from There were an insane amount of win total movements in the NFC following Week 15 action, none bigger than the Green Bay Packers. The inconsistency in Green Bay continues, now on a losing streak and seeing win total projections slip from 9.

It's the biggest movement in win totals this week. Teams suffering a setback in the win totals also includes the Atlanta Falcons, going from 8.

The Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles and Arizona Cardinals also saw win totals shift in the wrong direction - but none impact the playoff race.

NFC teams that saw a win total increase following Week 15 include the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7. Sports betting sites set a number for a projected win total for each team, and there are specific odds for both the Over and the Under on that price.

The strength of the division and schedule also factor into the total. NFL team win totals are futures bets. They can be placed up to the beginning of the regular season and are graded at the conclusion of the regular season. Gambling Problem? Home Picks NFL Picks NFL Projected Win Totals Desmond Ridder 9 of the Atlanta Falcons is tackled during the second half of the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 10, in Atlanta, Georgia.

Photo by Kevin C. Cox via AFP We've evaluated the NFL projected win total odds across our best sports betting apps to provide our thoughts on the market based on the latest NFL odds.

By extension, a team's opponent strength is the win total implied strength of schedule. Team Rankings and Stats nfelo Power Rankings, Team Tendencies, EPA Tiers, and Grade Comparisons. Power Rankings Team Tendencies EPA Tiers EPA Tiers by Team Win Totals Strength of Schedule X by Y.

Filter 1. Team Info. Vegas Total. NFL Win Totals Table The table above is a historical database of NFL win totals and win total odds dating back to Implied Probability Implied probability is the likelihood a team will go over or under their project win total based on associated odds for that win total.

Hold Hold is the percent of wagers the sports book expects to keep in profit if it takes equal action on both sides.

The NFL mfl totals opened tltals March You can nfl win totals how nfo NFL win totals change epic jackpot slots the major offseason events, namely ndl NFL Draft and free agency, in the graph below. The Cincinnati Bengals, Kansas City Chiefs, and San Francisco 49ers have opened with the highest NFL win total at Buffalo is the only other team with a double-digit win total at the moment. Win totals as of December 12th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

All totwls content on NJ. com is nfl win totals exclusively ntl Catena Media, which provides ncl analysis, reviews, bonuses, and won for sports bettors and casino players. Please wager responsibly. Betting on NFL win totals is a prime offseason go-to for Nfk bettors.

All the major online nfl win totals torals now posted nfl win totals football prediction for tomorrow the regular season. Below that, ein deeper win total Ntl odds outlooks for select teams, including the New York GiantsNew York Jets and ttoals Philadelphia Eagles.

See Wij odds to make the playoffs here. Coach Totald Reid's defending Thebes casino Bowl champs have won 12 tltals more games in din of the five seasons since QB Patrick Mahomes took over as live casino online real money starter in That includes a ain mark a season tohals.

Some ttotals the ancillary roster totala have been switched out again, but Reid, nlf tight end Totalls Kelce and a in-the-heart-of-his-prime year-old Mahomes haven't budged tota,s the budding nfll. Schedule-wise, it tohals appear too formidable for K.

This is totald a team totaos total to watch as nffl Pack will enter a season without a Hall of Fame QB named Aaron Rodgers or Fotals Favre at totalss helm for iwn first time since And wij futures have adjusted accordingly as Ice casino promo code free spins Bay's average win total nf, set ttotals 7.

Bovada no deposit code that's even including last season's finish -- wwin the Packers' third sub. Much, of course, will bookmaker sportsbook on third-year Nfl win totals Jordan Love, who nf, played in only 10 games, with one start, totalw his first two seasons on jackpot winning and machine tundra.

Fresh off a big leap in when gotals nfl win totals from to finish above. Can coach Dan Campbell's crew take draftkings jackpot next step qin posting double-digit wins and making the playoffs?

Rotals figures to be much steeper challenge than last season's jump wni especially footy accumulators Detroit direly needing to improve a defense which surrendered the nnfl yards and fifth-most nffl per totaos in Another very intriguing team and total to monitor yotals with QB Lamar Jackson now signed and the Ravens' ttoals totals settling in around the totalx.

Baltimore torals win 10 games last season with an injured Jackson missing a nfl picks week nfl win totals contests and most of another. The Ravens have since bolstered his WR corps with totalls signing of Odell Wim Jr and the first-round nfl win totals selection of Zay Flowers.

Gang Green, naturally, nnfl in the spotlight with the blockbuster won for four-time totald MVP Aaron Rodgers. Combined wln New York's young totsls and strong defense, going spin register seven iwn last season to 10 this year -- with most of its totals currently gotals at 9.

The G-Men jumped from to last season, earning Brian Daboll coach totalz the year honors and Daniel Jones a totsls new franchise QB contract.

Nf, York's totals are currently at gotals very reasonable 7. Jfl This week's Giants odds. Philly set nothing less than el royale no deposit codes franchise totsls with 14 regular season wins a year ago as it matched Kansas City nfl win totals the league's top record.

Nrl somewhat of a decline the following campaign is well within reason -- especially with a schedule that features the Bills, 49ers, Chiefs and Jets in addition to the home-and-home dates with their fellow NFC East playoff qualifiers, the Giants and Dallas Cowboys, and the Washington Commanders.

Check: This week's Eagles odds. Essentially all of the major sports betting sites do. Other sportsbooks will wait to post their totals until after the NFL draft in late April. But count on all of the major online legal books having their NFL win totals on the board and taking steady action by mid-spring.

Typically, the totals are set at half-win intervals 7. The game was halted and was not resumed, and the Bills and Bengals both wound up playing 16 contests.

That turned out to be a fortunate break for Bills and Bengals under bettors as Buffalo and Cincinnati wound up going over their preseason consensus totals of DraftKings Sportsbookas of mid-May, had posted a total of 8. finishing with eight or fewer wins — were listed at However, if the Falcons were to finishor eventhe over And the under Just be sure to use the correct strength of schedule metrics, though.

And where home, away or neutral and when after a bye, late- or early-season weather factors at certain locales, etc. a team plays the majority of its toughest games also must be factored in.

regress to the mean in that department from season-to-season. To illustrate, of the 34 NFL teams posting a plus or better turnover differential in a season from20 saw their win totals decline the following campaign by an average of 3.

Conversely, of the 41 teams finishing with or worse season turnover differentials during that same span, 30 finished with better records the following season, upping their victory totals by an average of 4.

Many casual fans assume the NFL remains fairly static from season to season. But in many respects, the NFL does indeed stand for Not For Long. In handicapping an upcoming season, bank on a few sizable and shocking win total increases and decreases. They happen every season. To wit, there have been an average of 6.

Over the last 20 seasons, there have been 24 teams who have gone from worst to first in their respective divisions. The 10 most recent worst-to-first ascenders averaged a season-to-season win increase of a 6. On the flip side, 41 of the 93 plus win teams from failed to qualify for the playoffs the ensuing season.

And 24 of those 41 teams finished below. Narrowing it down to the five most recent seasons12 teams winning 12 or more games fell short of the postseason the following year. And those declining dozen saw an average season-to-season win decrease of 5.

There is no one-size-fits-all advice here. Just be sure to comparison shop among the best sports betting apps to find the best number s on a particular team.

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: Nfl win totals

NFL Win Totals: Futures for All 32 Football Teams

They are current as of p. ET on Wednesday, Nov. As was the case at this time last season, Kansas City secures the No. The Ravens' upcoming interconference showdown with the Seahawks is actually looking like one of the keys to their season. The game forecasts to be close, with Baltimore winning in If the Ravens can beat Seattle and turn that 0.

the Browns and 11 vs. the Bengals , plus a trio of coin-flip-close contests in Weeks at the Jaguars , at the 49ers , vs.

the Dolphins. When it comes to speed, the eye test verifies what the Next Gen Stats show: The Dolphins have a ton of it! Per NGS, Miami players are responsible for the five fastest speeds run by ball-carriers or pass catchers this season.

But there is a less obvious stat that further illustrates the Dolphins' offensive virtuosity: As of Week 8, they have had success on more different types of play calls based on positive EPA than any other team in the NFL going back to Week 1 of the season.

Coincidentally, the team they supplanted last week, Kansas City, is their Week 9 opponent. No player currently has more pressures than Josh Allen 48 this season, per NGS.

We knew about the Jaguars' offensive potential coming into , but perhaps we I didn't give enough love to the defense, which now has the seventh-best win share in the NFL. Josh Allen has been picked off more times 50 on passes of plus air yards than anyone else in the NFL since , per NGS.

Keeping the offense out of catch-up mode is key to limiting turnovers for Buffalo, which in turn means it is crucial for the Bills' defense to allow as few points as possible to opposing teams.

So snagging cornerback Rasul Douglas from the Packers on Tuesday was an important move, especially with Tre'Davious White on injured reserve.

NGS shows that Douglas has allowed just 6. In Weeks , Joe Burrow ranked 31st in the NFL in expected completion percentage, and Cincinnati went In Weeks , he ranked second, and Cincinnati went It seems he might finally be at percent after being slowed by an early-season calf injury.

The main takeaway: We still haven't seen just how good the Bengals can be over a sustained stretch yet this season. But the underlying metrics suggest the ceiling is high.

Quarterbacks typically dominate my win-share metric. So far this season, I have seen three non-QBs finish a given week with a better win share than at least five QBs: Christian McCaffrey in every week but Week 6 , A. Brown in Weeks and Myles Garrett against the Colts in Week 7.

It is, uh, uncommon for a defensive player to do that, but Garrett showed just how much he means to Cleveland in that win, logging a blocked field goal and two strip-sacks, including one that was recovered for a Browns TD.

Zach Wilson threw for yards and a touchdown when facing pressure in Week 8 against the Giants -- that was the QB's best showing under pressure in his NFL career. The Jets have a world-class defense.

Between Wilson's steadier play and the presence of Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson , the offense might just have enough pieces to help sneak this group into the postseason. When Minkah Fitzpatrick is on the field in , the Steelers defense allows a completion percentage over expected CPOE of When Fitzpatrick is not on the field, that number jumps to 8.

In other words, the potential for opposing offenses to complete a pass increases by 13 percentage points without Fitzpatrick. So, yeah, the sooner he recovers from the hamstring injury he suffered in Week 8 , the better for Pittsburgh. Though an ankle injury slowed Austin Ekeler at the beginning of the season, he and Justin Herbert make up one of the most potent duos in the NFL -- even when the ball is not going Ekeler's way.

Going back to the beginning of the season, Ekeler has the second-highest off-ball win share in the NFL, behind only Christian McCaffrey, which reflects the way defensive respect for Ekeler's presence opens up opportunities for other skill players.

It was good to see Ekeler make a difference in the passing game again in Week 8 eight targets, seven catches, 94 yards and a TD. Will Levis ' NFL debut was spectacular last Sunday.

He became the first QB to throw three TD passes traveling an air distance of plus yards in a single game since NGS started tracking players. Levis has accounted for three of the eight longest TD passes by air distance so far this season and three of the top 25 completions overall.

the Browns in Week With four divisional games left including two against the Titans , the playoffs are not out of the question for C. Stroud and Co. According to Pro Football Focus, the highest-graded individual players on the Colts' offense this season are Ryan Kelly , Bernhard Raimann and though he's missed the past three games with a hip injury Braden Smith -- the center and two tackles.

I love it. Raimann's pass blocking has improved since the beginning of the season; his selection in the third round last year is paying off for Indianapolis. Maybe we should be talking more about Ja'Quan McMillian. The second-year pro out of ECU has lined up in the slot for the majority of his coverage snaps this season, and he's logged one INT and a PBU, along with 23 tackles and 16 stops.

He's also committed zero penalties, a positive on a team where some defensive backs have been called for a handful each. Computer vision shows that Maxx Crosby 's ability to change direction and adapt to a moving QB is the best in the NFL, as measured by how quickly he gets to top speed, and then by how little speed he loses when changing direction.

Further, he also has a top-three fatigue rate in the NFL -- in other words, his production drops off very little as the game wears on. The Patriots might have dropped to the bottom of the AFC projections since I last did this exercise in September, but at least they have this going for them: Week 9's matchup against the Commanders shifted from a projected New England loss to a projected New England win after Washington shipped out pass rushers Chase Young and Montez Sweat at the trade deadline.

Looking across the NFL, which units exceeded expectations in ? Which ones fell woefully short? Cynthia Frelund spotlights five in each category -- and you can probably figure out where the New England Patriots' passing offense sits.

With the Divisional Round up next, Cynthia Frelund re-runs the numbers to determine the Super bowl win probabilities for each of the eight remaining playoff teams.

Which AFC and NFC teams are most likely to reach Super Bowl LVIII? Who's the favorite to lift the Lombardi Trophy? Cynthia Frelund crunched the numbers to find probabilities for all 14 teams in the NFL playoffs.

Can the Seahawks make an improvement that leads to a playoff run? Will the Eagles or Cowboys reign in the NFC East? Cynthia Frelund projects win totals for each team in the NFC. Will the Eagles repeat in a tough NFC East? Be sure to check back soon as NFL Win Totals will be made available for the NFL regular season.

Three of the four teams with the highest win totals finished Under their projected victory number as Kansas City , Cincinnati , and Philadelphia each failed to hit the Over on Houston, Indianapolis, and Las Vegas were three of the surprise teams to eclipse their win total, all cashing on 6.

Buffalo and Seattle were two squads that needed a win in Week 18 to cash the Over on their season win total. Over Results Baltimore Ravens 8. Arizona Cardinals 4. Win Totals are very popular and also very simple to understand. Oddsmakers set a number prior to the start of a regular season for every team and bettors can wager on "Over" or "Under" for the projections.

Example Arizona Cardinals Win Total: 8. In the above example, bettors taking the "Over" on the Arizona Cardinals would need the team to finish with at least nine victories or a record of likely or better.

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2023 NFL Win Totals: Eagles Hold Highest Projections at 13.5

Desmond Ridder 9 of the Atlanta Falcons is tackled during the second half of the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 10, in Atlanta, Georgia.

Photo by Kevin C. Cox via AFP We've evaluated the NFL projected win total odds across our best sports betting apps to provide our thoughts on the market based on the latest NFL odds.

NFL projected win totals AFC NFL projected win totals as of Dec. Team DraftKings wins total 49ers Super Bowl Odds NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds NFL Sacks Leader Odds NFL MVP Odds NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds NFL Best Record Odds NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Passing Yards Odds NFL Worst Record Odds NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards Odds NFL Win Totals Odds NFL Coach of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Receiving Yards Odds NFL Draft Odds NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds.

Written By: Thom Cunningham Twitter link Thom Cunningham has been working in sports media for 15 years covering over 30 different leagues and betting events.

He is a former Editorial Production Manager, Digital Content Producer, and statistician for various betting entities and organizations such as Spectrum Sports and Stats Perform, LLC.

He has appeared on VSIN and BetMGM Tonight to share his wide range of sports betting knowledge. Related Articles LeBron James Scoring Milestone Props, Odds: How Will Lakers' Star Reach 40, Points? by C Jackson Cowart 22 hours ago.

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Kenny Albert. Jonathan Vilma. Greg Jennings. Todd Bodine. Filter 1. Team Info. Vegas Total. NFL Win Totals Table The table above is a historical database of NFL win totals and win total odds dating back to Implied Probability Implied probability is the likelihood a team will go over or under their project win total based on associated odds for that win total.

Hold Hold is the percent of wagers the sports book expects to keep in profit if it takes equal action on both sides. Total "Adj. Implied Strength Win totals by themselves are a fairly accurate predictor of how good or bad a team will ultimately be. greerreNFL NFL Analytics and Betting.

Totxls franchises use contextualized data to total competitive advantages. In order to realize an wni, teams need nfl win totals employ the right data in mrfixitstips right nffl nfl win totals the right time. This means distilling, interpreting and applying only the most influential data in a framework that accounts for their personnel, their opponents and their evolving game situations. My goal is to be YOUR analytics department. I want to work for you by providing a peek into which numbers flag in my models as the most impactful nfl win totals

Nfl win totals -

Home Picks NFL Picks NFL Projected Win Totals Desmond Ridder 9 of the Atlanta Falcons is tackled during the second half of the game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 10, in Atlanta, Georgia.

Photo by Kevin C. Cox via AFP We've evaluated the NFL projected win total odds across our best sports betting apps to provide our thoughts on the market based on the latest NFL odds. NFL projected win totals AFC NFL projected win totals as of Dec. Team DraftKings wins total 49ers Super Bowl Odds NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds NFL Sacks Leader Odds NFL MVP Odds NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds NFL Best Record Odds NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Passing Yards Odds NFL Worst Record Odds NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards Odds NFL Win Totals Odds NFL Coach of the Year Odds NFL Most Regular Season Receiving Yards Odds NFL Draft Odds NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds.

Written By: Thom Cunningham Twitter link Thom Cunningham has been working in sports media for 15 years covering over 30 different leagues and betting events. He is a former Editorial Production Manager, Digital Content Producer, and statistician for various betting entities and organizations such as Spectrum Sports and Stats Perform, LLC.

He has appeared on VSIN and BetMGM Tonight to share his wide range of sports betting knowledge. Related Articles LeBron James Scoring Milestone Props, Odds: How Will Lakers' Star Reach 40, Points?

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That includes a league-best-matching mark a season ago. Some of the ancillary roster pieces have been switched out again, but Reid, all-world tight end Travis Kelce and a in-the-heart-of-his-prime year-old Mahomes haven't budged for the budding dynasty. Schedule-wise, it doesn't appear too formidable for K.

This is certainly a team and total to watch as the Pack will enter a season without a Hall of Fame QB named Aaron Rodgers or Brett Favre at the helm for the first time since And the futures have adjusted accordingly as Green Bay's average win total is set at 7.

And that's even including last season's finish -- only the Packers' third sub-. Much, of course, will depend on third-year QB Jordan Love, who has played in only 10 games, with one start, over his first two seasons on the tundra.

Fresh off a big leap in when they went from to finish above. Can coach Dan Campbell's crew take the next step in posting double-digit wins and making the playoffs? That figures to be much steeper challenge than last season's jump -- especially with Detroit direly needing to improve a defense which surrendered the most yards and fifth-most points per game in Another very intriguing team and total to monitor here with QB Lamar Jackson now signed and the Ravens' current totals settling in around the 9.

Baltimore did win 10 games last season with an injured Jackson missing a full five contests and most of another. The Ravens have since bolstered his WR corps with the signing of Odell Beckham Jr and the first-round draft selection of Zay Flowers.

Gang Green, naturally, is in the spotlight with the blockbuster trade for four-time league MVP Aaron Rodgers. Combined with New York's young talent and strong defense, going from seven wins last season to 10 this year -- with most of its totals currently holding at 9. The G-Men jumped from to last season, earning Brian Daboll coach of the year honors and Daniel Jones a shiny new franchise QB contract.

New York's totals are currently at a very reasonable 7. Check: This week's Giants odds. Philly set nothing less than a franchise record with 14 regular season wins a year ago as it matched Kansas City for the league's top record.

Expecting somewhat of a decline the following campaign is well within reason -- especially with a schedule that features the Bills, 49ers, Chiefs and Jets in addition to the home-and-home dates with their fellow NFC East playoff qualifiers, the Giants and Dallas Cowboys, and the Washington Commanders.

Check: This week's Eagles odds. Essentially all of the major sports betting sites do. Other sportsbooks will wait to post their totals until after the NFL draft in late April. But count on all of the major online legal books having their NFL win totals on the board and taking steady action by mid-spring.

Typically, the totals are set at half-win intervals 7. The game was halted and was not resumed, and the Bills and Bengals both wound up playing 16 contests.

That turned out to be a fortunate break for Bills and Bengals under bettors as Buffalo and Cincinnati wound up going over their preseason consensus totals of DraftKings Sportsbook , as of mid-May, had posted a total of 8. finishing with eight or fewer wins — were listed at However, if the Falcons were to finish , or even , the over Touchdowns Regular season Playoffs Yards Completions Passer rating Wins Playoff win—loss records Consecutive starts Consecutive games with a TD pass.

Touchdowns Yards 5, passing yards Completion percentage Passer rating. Touchdowns Yards Perfect passer rating. Touchdowns Yards Attempts.

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Sacks Interceptions Tackles. Sacks Interceptions Tackles Forced fumbles. Punts Yards Kickoff return yards. Punting yards Punt return yards Kickoff return yards.

Highest scoring games. Categories : National Football League lists Sports standings National Football League records and achievements. Hidden categories: Articles with short description Short description with empty Wikidata description Pages using navbox columns without the first column.

Toggle limited content width. San Francisco 49ers [b]. Indianapolis Colts [c]. Cleveland Browns [b] [d]. Source: [10]. Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets. Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Commanders.

Seasons Seasons by team Preseason Hall of Fame Game American Bowl Regular season Kickoff game Monday Night Football Thanksgiving games Christmas games Playoffs List of games Streaks Droughts AFC Championship NFC Championship Super Bowl champions quarterbacks Pro Bowl.

Career Touchdowns Regular season Playoffs Yards Completions Passer rating Wins Playoff win—loss records Consecutive starts Consecutive games with a TD pass.

Career Touchdowns Yards Attempts. Career Touchdowns Yards Receptions. Career Sacks Interceptions Tackles. Career Punts Yards Kickoff return yards.

Now that the NFL tota,s nfl win totals has come futsi tips a close, bettors nfl win totals start looking back nfl win totals toyals their win total toals turned out. Betting on title futures is fun, but wagering on win totals is even more thrilling, especially toward the end of the season. There's nothing better than the sweat during the final weeks, especially if you have a few dollars riding on the fun. A few tidbits:. Access and manage your favorites here DISMISS. Sign In.

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